NFL GM Draft Accuracy

Measuring how well current NFL general managers have drafted, using Weighted Approximate Value per season, first team all-pros, Pro Bowl players, and primary starters.

All draft stats and information is from Pro Football Reference.

wAV, or Weighted Approximate Value, is similar to WAR (or wins above replacement value). PFR gives players a career value. I divided each player's value per season, and created an average score to rank the cumulative draftee value.

AP1 rank is the percentage of players drafted that have become first team all-pros. Pro Bowl rank is the same.

Starter rank is the percentage of players who have become primary starters for at least two seasons.

To accurately measure their drafts, GMs must have spent at least three seasons with their current team. Because 2022 draftees do not have NFL stats, they are not included.

NFL GM Draft Accuracy

1. New Orleans Saints - Mickey Loomis

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 8th (2.70 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 9th (5.6%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 2nd (16%)

  • Primary starter rank - 2nd (37.6%)

  • 125 players drafted

  • 11 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (8.8%)

  • 11 players who never played in the NFL (8.8%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Ohio State - 9 players (7.2%)

2. San Francisco 49ers - John Lynch

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 4th (2.92 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 2nd (7.5%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 8th (10%)

  • Primary starter rank - 8th (30%)

  • 40 players drafted

  • 5 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (12.5%)

  • 2 players who never played in the NFL (5%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Utah - 3 players (7.5%)

3. Dallas Cowboys - Jerry Jones

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 15th (2.28 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 6th (6.4%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 3rd (15.3%)

  • Primary starter rank - 1st (38.2%)

  • 293 players drafted

  • 14 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (4.7%)

  • 39 players who never played in the NFL (13.3%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Florida and Ohio State tied - 9 players (3%)

T4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Jason Licht

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 5th (2.83 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 17th (1.7%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 1st (17.8%)

  • Primary starter rank - 3rd (33.9%)

  • 56 players drafted

  • 7 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (12.5%)

  • 39 players who never played in the NFL (6%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Auburn, LSU and Washington tied - 3 players (5.3%)

T4. Tennessee Titans - Jon Robinson

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 10th (2.50 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 3rd (6.9%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 7th (11.6%)

  • Primary starter rank - 6th (32.5%)

  • 43 players drafted

  • 6 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (13.9%)

  • 3 players who never played in the NFL (6.9%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Georgia - 3 players (6.9%)

T6. Los Angeles Chargers - Tom Telesco

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 7th (2.77 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 15th (3.2%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 5th (13.1%)

  • Primary starter rank - 4th (32.7%)

  • 61 players drafted

  • 4 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (6.5%)

  • 4 players who never played in the NFL (6.5%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Notre Dame - 6 players (9.8%)

T6. Miami Dolphins - Chris Grier

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 3rd (3.07 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 7th (6.3%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 12th (8.5%)

  • Primary starter rank - 9th (29.7%)

  • 47 players drafted

  • 6 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (12.7%)

  • 3 players who never played in the NFL (6.3%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Alabama - 5 players (10.6%)

T6. Buffalo Bills - Brandon Beane

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 1st (3.37 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 16th (2.7%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 4th (13.5%)

  • Primary starter rank - 10th (29.7%)

  • 37 players drafted

  • 6 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (16.2%)

  • 2 players who never played in the NFL (5.4%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Pittsburgh - 3 players (8.1%)

9. Cincinnati Bengals - Duke Tobin

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 18th (2.14 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 1st (8.9%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 11th (8.9%)

  • Primary starter rank - 5th (32.6%)

  • 202 players drafted

  • 10 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (4.9%)

  • 25 players who never played in the NFL (12.3%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Georgia - 9 players (4.4%)

10. Seattle Seahawks - John Schneider

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 12th (2.35 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 11th (4.6%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 6th (12%)

  • Primary starter rank - 7th (31.4%)

  • 108 players drafted

  • 7 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (6.4%)

  • 11 players who never played in the NFL (10.1%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - LSU - 6 players (5.5%)

11. Kansas City Chiefs - Brett Veach

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 2nd (3.35 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 14th (3.3%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 8th (1%)

  • Primary starter rank - 16th (2%)

  • 30 players drafted

  • 4 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (13.3%)

  • 1 player who never played in the NFL (3.3%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Clemson, Florida State, Michigan, Tennessee tied - 2 players (6.6%)

12. New England Patriots - Bill Belichick

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 16th (2.22 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 4th (6.7%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 10th (9.7%)

  • Primary starter rank - 11th (28.8%)

  • 194 players drafted

  • 11 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (5.6%)

  • 29 players who never played in the NFL (14.9%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Florida - 9 players (4.6%)

13. Indianapolis Colts - Chris Ballard

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 6th (2.82 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 5th (6.6%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 16th (6.6%)

  • Primary starter rank - 15th (22.2%)

  • 45 players drafted

  • 5 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (11.1%)

  • 1 player who never played in the NFL (2.2%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Ohio State and USC tied - 3 players (6.6%)

T14. Los Angeles Rams - Les Snead

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 14th (2.29 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 8th (5.6%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 14th (7.9%)

  • Primary starter rank - 12th (27.2%)

  • 88 players drafted

  • 5 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (11.1%)

  • 1 player who never played in the NFL (2.2%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Ohio State and USC tied - 3 players (6.6%)

T14. Philadelphia Eagles - Howie Roseman

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 11th (2.37 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 10th (5.5%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 13th (8.3%)

  • Primary starter rank - 14th (25%)

  • 72 players drafted

  • 4 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (5.5%)

  • 3 players who never played in the NFL (4.1%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Oklahoma and Stanford tied - 4 players (5.5%)

16. Arizona Cardinals - Steve Keim

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 13th (2.31 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 12th (4.5%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 15th (7.5%)

  • Primary starter rank - 12th (27.2%)

  • 66 players drafted

  • 2 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (3%)

  • 6 players who never played in the NFL (9%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - LSU, North Carolina and Texas A&M tied - 3 players (4.5%)

17. Baltimore Ravens - Eric DeCosta

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 9th (2.51 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 13th (3.8%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 18th (3.8%)

  • Primary starter rank - 17th (15.3%)

  • 26 players drafted

  • 3 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (11.5%)

  • 1 player who never played in the NFL (3.8%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Ohio State - 3 players (11.5%)

18. Green Bay Packers - Brian Gutekunst

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 19th (1.97 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 18th (0%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 17th (5.4%)

  • Primary starter rank - 18th (10.8%)

  • 37 players drafted

  • 2 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (5.4%)

  • 3 players who never played in the NFL (8.1%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Mississippi State - 3 players (8.1%)

19. New York Jets - Joe Douglas

  • Weighted Approximate Value rank - 17th (2.19 avg)

  • First team all-pro rank - 18th (0%)

  • Pro Bowl rank - 19th (0%)

  • Primary starter rank - 19th (8%)

  • 25 players drafted

  • 0 players with a 7+ wAV AVG (0%)

  • 2 players who never played in the NFL (8%)

  • Favorite college team to draft from - Florida - 3 players (12%)